Magic bullet in Iraq?
Low oil prices actuality helps china
at the expense at Russia. Russia’s Economy is 50% Dependent on oil revenues, cheap oil is only achieved through surplus of oil supplies on the world market. The result being that china faces no military threat, or challenge form Russia in the near future, Russia fears china’s future Economic, political, and military strength that’s why it won’t sell it oil. This leaves it free to lunch an all out attack on America. China has 200 plus years of coal reserves,The world has 300 plus years of reserves. Coal oil would properly sell for $20/25 a barrel. But we getting by on $70 plus per barrel of crude oil caused by speciation, OPEC and Iraq war. Coal right now sells $10 a bag and technology would keep reducing cost of coal liquidation over the coming years. South Africa supplied most of their fuel from coal oil. Nazi Germany produced 57% of all its fuels from coal oil from 25 coal liquidation plants if they had built enough coal liquidation plants say 60 instead of 25 they would prolong the war by just a year. It was difficult to do because the very extensive bombing from the RAF/USAF air forces. Coal and oil are underground sources of energy hence safe from Ariel bombing but refineries/liquidation plants are vulnerable to Ariel bombing. Since china has 200 plus years of coal reserves it could make 100% of its own fuels, it would reduce its reserves 100 years but that’s an other matter. At the moment china is hoping to produce 10% of liquid fuels domestically from its coal and its other energy sources. It also has enormous reserves of shale oil. Denied of access to Iraqis oil wouldn’t make that much of a difference because America won’t buy a once of Iranian oil. Control of iraqs oil does not mean control of all the worlds oil because prewar iraq producted only 4% of the worlds production due to sanctions/"weapons inspections" now its 3% due to bush war. So only a complete denial of oil strategy to china would be needed.The U.S. can lunch a navy blockage of china’s oil from the gulf and other regions. Only a complete occupation of the Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the gulf states could America have control of china’s oil exports in theory but unlikely due to reasons listed above. Plus America would never get round or met the time frame for a complete occupation of the Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the gulf states. Even if Iran is bombed tomorrow, it will still sell oil to china,
A naval blockage of china’s oil from the gulf and other regions would be an act of war. So such an event could would take place over Taiwan but china would never attack Taiwan if it was not sure it could fight the U.S. Armed forced forces. There will no war between America and china because china will always avoid confrontation and very deep economic relationship between the two countries. China’s war plan will be to seek a quick and overwhelmingly victory if war is to take place in the coming decades. If china won a quick and overwhelmingly victory in a U.S./China war. America would automatically lose its petroleum empire and Find very difficult to fight back militarily and economically recover afterwards. China could achieve this victory by sending troops through the Iranian/Pakistan corridor and a dense Iraqi Insurgency.Israel armed forces would start to decay if America stood in “front” of Israel rather than “behind”. Its military strength would so depleted that it would overran by its Arab neighbours in the event of a possible China/America war in the coming decades. Already Israel is sending increasing amounts on Social welfare and decreasing amounts on defence. Also it would be blamed for the iraqi occupation even due this was entirely George bushes Pipedream/enterprise. The final decision for the war/occupation lay with Bush. It will make her Arab neighbours more determined than ever to destroy her. This time for real not a case of getting even as in peveious wars.
no Offence meant just a tought.
This post is going be changed and redited
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In answer to your question.I arrived in theatre at the beginning of May 2004 and left on 4th Dec. I remember the handover of power very well because they had a small ceremony at Basrah International airport, where I was based. During the next few months up until the time I left,the situation gradually deteriated. At the beginning of my tour trips into Basrah town would be taken in “Wolf” softskin landrovers commanded by a junior NCO ,a corporal ,Lance corporal or sometimes a senior Rifleman, in two teams of four soldiers per team , Commander, driver and two “Topcover and an escort vehicle( Most times a civilian 4x4).By August ,due to the danger to British troops in Basrah,you were only allowed in town in “Snatch” “Armoured” landrovers of at least a multiple in strength (Three teams) commanded by the Platoon commander,a leftenant or the platoon sergeant,and the escorts also in a snatch.By the end of my tour we were going out in Platoon strenghth-Two multiples of 24 men. Sometimes,if the alert state was high,we also had a Warrior apc as escort. When any troops were killed or injured in Basrah all non-essential movement was stopped and a cordon was thrown around the town with VCPs ( Vehicle check points ) sometimes manned by my platoon ,with Tank support. Mortar and rocket attacks increased tenfold both at Basrah International Airport and all SF bases in Basrah town as did attacks on military vehicles.The field Hospital at Shaiba Logistics Base was perminantly full of casualties,with hardly a bed to spare.I did see an increase in Iraqi police activity, however, we never stopped at their checkpoints as they weren’t trusted by us ,for it was common knowledge that many of them had sold their spare uniforms, as had the Iraqi Army, and they had been infiltrated by the insurgents and many ambushes happened at their checkpoints manned by bogus policemen or Iraqi security forces.Normaly when approaching an Iraqi checkpoint our “Safety catches” would be off and our fingers on the trigger of our rifles, pointing at our “Allies” all of us very nervous! I did notice that some roads were repair had started but generally there wasn’t much visible change except the increase in attacks on us. Tribal fighting increased as well, we used to watch it sometimes at night from the roof of the Multi-National Division HQ at the airport two miles away,some nights it was very fierce with Mortars, Rockets and Heavy machine guns blasting away most of the night. The Majority of it seem to be around the “Acadamia” area North East Basrah near the Shaat Arab Hotel SF Base.All in all on reflection after the handover for us it got worse!
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